Analytics

News, Trends, & Analytics 21.06.2019

Dovish central banks impact stocks and currencies around the world

EU leaders have grown weary of Brexit negotiations, U.S. – Iranian conflict ratchets up to a war of words, & The U.S. Fed has a dovish plan.

 

News

The U.S. Federal Reserve joined the growing number of major central banks signaling that a new round of monetary stimulus could come as early as July. Affects the USD


Mexico awaits Canada’s and the U.S.’s ratification of USMCA. Affects MXN


The BOJ decided to maintain the current rate in the face of dovish sentiments from other central banks. Affects the JPY


The conflict between the U.S. and Iran remains purely verbal after Iran supposedly shot down an American drone. Affects Brent


European Union leaders have all but lost patience with Britain, and will neither allow a further delay to Brexit to continue negotiations with London nor change the separation deal. Affects GBP

 

Calendar

07:30 GMT

The German Manufacturing PMI for June will be released. Purchasing manager activity is projected to be 44.6. This will affect the EUR.


12:30 GMT

Canada’s Core Retail Sales (MoM) for April will be published. Sales are expected to have increased by 0.6%. This will affect the CAD.


14:00 GMT

The U.S.’s Existing Home Sales for May are due. Sales are expected to come in at 5.29M. This will affect the USD.

 

Technical Analytics

Brent

With the current tiff between the U.S. and Iran, sanctions placed on Iranian oil, and Exxon workers in Iraq fleeing after nearby rocket strikes the concern around the supply of oil will buoy the price.

Looking at the 1D TF, there is a Bullish Engulfing signal continuing the recent uptrend.

Natural Gas

On the 4H TF, a Three Black Crows pattern has shown that the downtrend is strong.

USD/CAD

This pair’s 1H TF has shown a Three Inside Down pattern indicating a continuation of the downtrend.

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