Analytics

News, Trends, & Analytics 17.10.2019

Brexit needs more time

Eurozone inflation slows, The Trump Administration is in talks with Ankara, & A Brexit delay is possible.

 

News

In Barcelona, during rallies against the jailing of nine Catalan separatist leaders – protesters and police clashed late on Tuesday, with the unusually tense confrontations turning into a major challenge for Spanish and regional authorities. Affects EUR


With EU sources reporting a “standstill”, Irish Prime Minister Leo Varadkar said on Wednesday that last-ditch talks between the European Union and Britain had so far failed to resolve issues standing in the way of an amicable Brexit. Affects GBP


British Brexit Minister Stephen Barclay said the government would comply with assurances given to a Scottish court that Prime Minister Boris Johnson would request a Brexit delay if a deal is not reached by Oct. 19. Affects GBP


On Wednesday, U.S. President Donald Trump’s national security adviser flew to Turkey as part of an emergency delegation to try to persuade Ankara to halt an assault on northern Syria that has forced Washington into an abrupt retreat. Affect the TRY


The European Union statistics agency said on Wednesday, Eurozone inflation dropped to its slowest pace in nearly three years in September, more than previously estimated. Affects EUR

 

Calendar

12:30 GMT

U.S. Building Permits from September will be released. Building Permits measures the change in the number of new building permits issued by the government. Affects USD.


15:00 GMT

U.S. Crude Oil Inventories will be published. The Energy Information Administration’s (EIA) Crude Oil Inventories measures the weekly change in the number of barrels of commercial crude oil held by US firms. Affects USD.

 

Technical analysis

GBP/USD

Statements by the British Prime Minister that the parties need more time to agree on a Brexit deal may mean another delay. Nevertheless, EU chief negotiator Michel Barnier remains optimistic.

The asset’s price may continue to rise. The Fibonacci levels will only exert pressure at 1.28350.

Gold

Gold is flirting with its support level. If the market does not receive positive news from the trade war between China and the United States, the demand for gold will increase.

Bitcoin

Applying two Fibonacci fans suggests a possible collapse in the price of bitcoin to 7100-7300

 

GBP/NZD this day in history

  • Since 2000, October 17th has been a trading day 14 times.
  • On 40% of those days, the asset ended with growth.
  • The maximum reinforcement range was 1.26%
  • The trend down was limited to 0.91%.
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